January House Price Index Headline Statistics

Average house price

£299,138

Monthly change

+0.7%

Quarterly change

+1.6%

Annual change

+3.0%

Amanda Bryden, Head of Mortgages, Halifax, said:

"The UK housing market started the year on a positive note, with average prices rising by +0.7% in January, more than recovering the slight dip of -0.2% in December. This increase pushed the average property price to a new record high of £299,138. However, annual growth slowed to +3.0%, the slowest rate since last July.

"Affordability is still a challenge for many would-be buyers, but the market's resilience is noteworthy. There’s strong demand for new mortgages and growth in lending. With a stamp duty increase looming, some of this demand may have come from first-time buyers eager to complete transactions before the end of March.

"Despite geopolitical uncertainties, and waning consumer confidence, other key indicators look fairly positive for the housing market. The Bank of England has made its first base rate cut of the year, and there are probably more to come. Household earnings are expected to continue outpacing inflation – albeit that gap may narrow – easing some of the financial pressure still being felt from the cost-of-living squeeze.

"As things stand, mortgage rates are likely to hover between 4% and 5% in 2025, influenced by both global financial markets and domestic monetary policy. Over the past year, buyers have been getting used to this new normal, understanding that rates are unlikely to return to the historical lows of 1%.

"But the fundamental issue in the housing market remains the lack of supply. This long-term trend, coupled with a gradual improvement in affordability, should support further modest house price growth this year."

Future press releases

Published at 7.00am on:

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About the Halifax House Price Index

The Halifax House Price Index is the UK's longest running monthly house price series with data covering the whole country going back to January 1983.

From this data, a "standardised" house price is calculated and property price movements on a like-for-like basis (including seasonal adjustments) are analysed over time. The annual change figure is calculated by comparing the current month seasonally adjusted figure with the same month a year earlier.

S&P DJI, a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions (NYSE: INFO) owns and acts as administrator for the Halifax House Price Index. For more information and details on how to access other indices from the Halifax House Price Index family go to the S&P Global website.

For all Halifax press releases, please see Lloydsbankinggroup.com